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BEAUFORT CONDITIONS TODAY'S FORECAST FIVE-DAY FORECAST
86.0F
Mostly Cloudy
(Feels like 89)
Dew Point: 68.0F
Humidity: 55%
Pressure: 30.09 inches
Wind: N at 6.9 mph
Visibility:
  HIGH  F    MPH
  LOW  F    % PRECIP
% % % % %
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Up to the minute NOAA Huricane Info

 

NHC Atlantic
  • Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook -
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 291734
    TWOAT

    TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    200 PM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
    Cristobal, which has become a post-tropical cyclone a few hundred
    miles east of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

    A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms over
    the central Caribbean Sea is associated with a tropical wave.
    Upper-level winds are forecast to become a little more favorable
    for development on Saturday while the wave moves over the
    northwestern Caribbean Sea. The disturbance is forecast to move
    across the Yucatan peninsula on Sunday and into the southwestern
    Gulf of Mexico by Monday, where environmental conditions are
    expected to be conducive for some gradual development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Brown



  • Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone CRISTOBAL (AT4/AL042014) - ...CRISTOBAL BECOMES A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC... As of 11:00 AM AST Fri Aug 29 the center of CRISTOBAL was located near 45.5, -47.1 with movement NE at 44 mph. The minimum central pressure was 980 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 75 mph.

  • Post-Tropical Cyclone CRISTOBAL Public Advisory Number 24 - Issued at 1100 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2014
    
    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 291449
    TCPAT4
    
    BULLETIN
    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER  24
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
    1100 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2014
    
    ...CRISTOBAL BECOMES A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE
    NORTH ATLANTIC...
    
    
    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...45.5N 47.1W
    ABOUT 300 MI...480 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 44 MPH...70 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES
    
    
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
    
    
    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
    CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.1
    WEST. THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR
    44 MPH...70 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN
    FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
    
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS.  SOME GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 36
    HOURS.  THE POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS FORECAST MERGE WITH ANOTHER LOW
    OVER THE NORTH ATLANTIC IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.
    
    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...FROM
    THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310
    MILES...500 KM.
    
    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.
    
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY CRISTOBAL ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
    THE NEW ENGLAND COAST...AND THE SOUTHERN COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA AND
    NEWFOUNDLAND DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO
    CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.  FOR MORE
    INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
    OFFICE.
    
    
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
    
    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN
    
    
    


  • Post-Tropical Cyclone CRISTOBAL Forecast Advisory Number 24 - Issued at 1500 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014
    
    000
    WTNT24 KNHC 291449
    TCMAT4
    
    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  24
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
    1500 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014
    
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
    
    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
    
    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT  38 KT
    
    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
    64 KT.......  0NE 100SE   0SW   0NW.
    50 KT.......100NE 140SE 100SW  70NW.
    34 KT.......200NE 270SE 220SW 240NW.
    12 FT SEAS..100NE 180SE 700SW 150NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
    
    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 45.5N  47.1W AT 29/1500Z
    AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 44.4N  48.6W
    
    FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 48.2N  41.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
    64 KT...  0NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
    50 KT...100NE 140SE 130SW 150NW.
    34 KT...200NE 270SE 270SW 240NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 51.5N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
    50 KT...  0NE  90SE 120SW 120NW.
    34 KT...200NE 250SE 250SW 200NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 55.0N  27.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
    50 KT...  0NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
    34 KT...150NE 250SE 270SW 150NW.
    
    FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW
    
    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 45.5N  47.1W
    
    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON CRISTOBAL.  ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
    
    $$
    FORECASTER BROWN
    
    
    
    


  • Post-Tropical Cyclone CRISTOBAL Forecast Discussion Number 24 - Issued at 1100 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2014
    
    000
    WTNT44 KNHC 291450
    TCDAT4
    
    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  24
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
    1100 AM AST FRI AUG 29 2014
    
    Cristobal has completed its transformation into an extratropical
    cyclone with all of the cold cloud tops located well north and
    northwest of the exposed center.  A frontal boundary has also
    wrapped around the southern portion of the circulation.  A recent
    ASCAT pass revealed a large area of 50-60 kt winds to the southeast
    of the center. Based on these data, the initial intensity is set at
    65 kt.  Although some gradual weakening is forecast during the next
    day or so, the low is expected to remain a large and powerful
    cyclone over the north Atlantic until it merges with another large
    low near Iceland in 36 to 48 hours.
    
    The cyclone has been moving northeast at more than 40 kt during the
    past 6 to 12 hours.  However, the low is expected to slow down some
    while it continues on a northeastward heading in deep layer
    southwesterly flow during the next day or so.  The official track
    forecast lies between the ECMWF and GFS solution and has been
    coordinated with guidance from the Ocean Prediction Center.
    
    This is the last NHC advisory on this system.  Additional
    information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts
    issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS header
    NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.
    
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
    
    INIT  29/1500Z 45.5N  47.1W   65 KT  75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
     12H  30/0000Z 48.2N  41.8W   65 KT  75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
     24H  30/1200Z 51.5N  35.0W   60 KT  70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
     36H  31/0000Z 55.0N  27.0W   55 KT  65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
     48H  31/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER LOW
    
    $$
    Forecaster Brown
    
    
    


  • Post-Tropical Cyclone CRISTOBAL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 24 - Issued at 1500 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014
    
    000
    FONT14 KNHC 291450
    PWSAT4
                                                                        
    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24 
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014               
    1500 UTC FRI AUG 29 2014                                            
                                                                        
    AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED  
    NEAR LATITUDE 45.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM         
    SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.                    
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    HIBERNIA OILFD 34 65   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
     
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
    
    


  • Post-Tropical Cyclone CRISTOBAL Graphics - Post-Tropical Cyclone CRISTOBAL 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 29 Aug 2014 14:51:49 GMT

    Post-Tropical Cyclone CRISTOBAL 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 29 Aug 2014 15:03:45 GMT

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