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BEAUFORT CONDITIONS TODAY'S FORECAST FIVE-DAY FORECAST
79.0F
A Few Clouds
(Feels like )
Dew Point: 73.9F
Humidity: 85%
Pressure: 30.07 inches
Wind: SW at 9.2 mph
Visibility:
  HIGH  F    MPH
  LOW  F    % PRECIP
% % % % %
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Up to the minute NOAA Huricane Info

 

NHC Atlantic
  • Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook -
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 230515
    TWOAT

    TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    200 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
    Depression Two, located several hundred miles east of the Lesser
    Antilles.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Brown



  • Summary for Tropical Depression TWO (AT2/AL022014) - ...DEPRESSION MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES... As of 11:00 PM AST Tue Jul 22 the center of TWO was located near 13.4, -51.4 with movement WNW at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1012 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

  • Tropical Depression TWO Public Advisory Number 6 - Issued at 1100 PM AST TUE JUL 22 2014
    
    000
    WTNT32 KNHC 230235
    TCPAT2
    
    BULLETIN
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER   6
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
    1100 PM AST TUE JUL 22 2014
    
    ...DEPRESSION MOVING QUICKLY WESTWARD TOWARD THE LESSER ANTILLES...
    
    
    SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...13.4N 51.4W
    ABOUT 675 MI...1090 KM E OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES
    
    
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
    
    INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
    THIS SYSTEM.
    
    
    DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
    ------------------------------
    AT 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO
    WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.4 WEST. THE
    DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30
    KM/H.  A SLIGHTLY FASTER WESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS
    EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
    
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW...BUT
    THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A TROUGH OF LOW
    PRESSURE ON THURSDAY.
    
    THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.
    
    
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND...GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD AND
    LEEWARD ISLANDS LATE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
    
    
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.
    
    $$
    FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
    
    
    


  • Tropical Depression TWO Forecast Advisory Number 6 - Issued at 0300 UTC WED JUL 23 2014
    
    000
    WTNT22 KNHC 230235
    TCMAT2
    
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
    0300 UTC WED JUL 23 2014
    
    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
    
    INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
    THIS SYSTEM.
    
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  51.4W AT 23/0300Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
    
    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT
    
    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
    
    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.4N  51.4W AT 23/0300Z
    AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  50.4W
    
    FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 13.7N  53.7W
    MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
    
    FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.4N  57.3W
    MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
    
    FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.1N  61.1W
    MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
    
    FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 15.9N  65.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
    
    FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED
    
    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.4N  51.4W
    
    NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z
    
    $$
    FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
    
    
    
    


  • Tropical Depression TWO Forecast Discussion Number 6 - Issued at 1100 PM AST TUE JUL 22 2014
    
    000
    WTNT42 KNHC 230236
    TCDAT2
    
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO DISCUSSION NUMBER   6
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014
    1100 PM AST TUE JUL 22 2014
    
    The tropical depression is producing a little more deep convection
    than it was earlier today.  Satellite images indicate that the
    convective pattern consists of a small circular area of
    thunderstorms near the estimated center, with limited banding
    features surrounding it.  The initial wind speed remains 30 kt
    based on a Dvorak classification from TAFB and ADT values from
    UW-CIMSS.
    
    The global models show the depression becoming highly titled in the
    vertical during the next day or so due to a substantial increase in
    shear.  These unfavorable environmental winds combined with a dry
    air mass should prevent significant strengthening.  The cyclone is
    forecast to become a remnant low or open into a trough in 36 to 48
    h, but this could occur sooner as suggested by some of the models.
    
    The depression is moving west-northwestward at about 16 kt.  An even
    faster westward to west-northwestward motion is predicted, taking
    the depression, or its remnants, across the the Lesser Antilles
    late Wednesday or on Thursday.
    
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
    
    INIT  23/0300Z 13.4N  51.4W   30 KT  35 MPH
     12H  23/1200Z 13.7N  53.7W   30 KT  35 MPH
     24H  24/0000Z 14.4N  57.3W   30 KT  35 MPH
     36H  24/1200Z 15.1N  61.1W   30 KT  35 MPH
     48H  25/0000Z 15.9N  65.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     72H  26/0000Z...DISSIPATED
    
    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
    
    
    


  • Tropical Depression TWO Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6 - Issued at 0300 UTC WED JUL 23 2014
    
    000
    FONT12 KNHC 230236
    PWSAT2
                                                                        
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6         
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022014               
    0300 UTC WED JUL 23 2014                                            
                                                                        
    AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR     
    LATITUDE 13.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
    WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
    PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
     
    SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
     
    ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
     
    BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
     
    ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
     
    GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   5(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
     
    AVES           34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
     
    DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)  11(11)   5(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
     
    MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)   9( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
     
    SAINT LUCIA    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
     
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               
    
    


  • Tropical Depression TWO Graphics - Tropical Depression TWO 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 23 Jul 2014 02:37:28 GMT

    Tropical Depression TWO 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 23 Jul 2014 07:23:45 GMT

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